Calm Trading Analytics

Data scope. Source: live_trading.sqlite. Exchange-confirmed account performance is separated from confidently linked bot-strategy performance. Simulated trade_log results are not included. "Confirmed Bot" trades have an exact position_id match back to a bot-submitted order in trade_log.json; "Unlinked" trades don't, and are never guessed into that cohort.

Confirmed Bot Trades✓ Strategy evaluation cohort

Trades

Net PnL

14.64 USDT

Win Rate

83.33%

Profit Factor

2.19

Confidently linked to a bot-submitted order. Every section below except Open Positions and Data Quality defaults to this cohort.

All Bitunix Trades

Trades

Net PnL

-511.28 USDT

Win Rate

27.59%

Profit Factor

0.26

Whole-account reconciliation total. Can include old, manual, imported, or otherwise unlinked activity — not a strategy metric.

Unlinked Trades⚠ Not strategy evidence

Trades

Net PnL

-525.91 USDT

Win Rate

13.04%

Profit Factor

0.22

Must not be used to evaluate scoring factors or IC performance — see below for detail.

Confirmed Bot Trades — Strategy Performance Confirmed Bot · N=6

Net PnL

14.64 USDT

Profit Factor

2.19

Win Rate

83.33%

Expectancy

2.44 USDT

Total Trades

Avg Winner

5.4 USDT

Avg Loser

-12.34 USDT

Avg Hold

163.63m

BEP Rate

50%

TP1 Rate

TP2 Rate

TP3 Rate

16.67%

SL Rate

33.33%

Unlinked Bitunix Trades Unlinked · N=23

Exchange-confirmed, but no confident bot linkage. Not used anywhere in this dashboard's strategy, score, or factor metrics.

Count

Net PnL

-525.91 USDT

Win Rate

13.04%

Profit Factor

0.22

Symbols: BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, SOLUSDT, XRPUSDT

Date range: 2026-06-29T14:49:03.000Z → 2026-07-12T04:49:34.000Z

Known linkage reason: no matching entries row (no trade_log row with this positionId) — left unlinked, not guessed

Coin Performance Confirmed Bot · N=6

Coin	Trades	Win Rate	Profit Factor	Net PnL	Avg PnL	Expectancy	Avg Hold (m)
UNIUSDT	1	100%	N/A	13.78	13.78	13.78	189.22
ARBUSDT	1	100%	N/A	5.76	5.76	5.76	236.98
BTCUSDT	1	100%	N/A	4.39	4.39	4.39	206.23
AVAXUSDT	1	100%	N/A	2.68	2.68	2.68	208.4
ETHUSDT	1	100%	N/A	0.37	0.37	0.37	70.45
AAVEUSDT	1	0%	0	-12.34	-12.34	-12.34	70.48

Long vs Short Confirmed Bot · N=6

Long (0)

Win Rate

N/A

Profit Factor

N/A

Expectancy

N/A

Short (6)

Win Rate

83.33%

Profit Factor

2.19

Expectancy

2.44 USDT

Exit Reason Confirmed Bot · N=6

Score Analysis Confirmed Bot · N=6

Bucket	Trades	WR	PF	Expectancy
30-35	3	66.67%	0.82	-0.73
35-40	3	100%	N/A	5.61

Confirmed Bot cohort, restricted to trades with a captured score_final (N=6 of 6) — small sample.

Time Analysis Confirmed Bot · N=6

By Hour (UTC)

No data yet.

By Day of Week

No data yet.

By Market Session

market_session is not yet populated by the collector (always NULL) — not fabricated here.

Factor Analysis Confirmed Bot · N=6

⚠ Small-sample warning: N=6 is not sufficient for strong conclusions. Correlations below are directional signals to watch, not proof.

Sorted descending by |correlation with net PnL| ("usefulness"). factor_outcomes rows only ever exist for confirmed-linked, closed trades — unlinked trades cannot contribute here.

Factor	N	Avg Raw	Avg Contribution	WR	PF	Avg Outcome	Correlation
ema20_value	6	10944.09	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.54
ema50_value	6	10943.85	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.54
fr_hist	6	0	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.54
liq_imbalance	6	0.42	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.54
rsi14	6	0.4	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.54
etf_flow	6	-29933333.33	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.5
rsi1h	6	43.56	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.49
ls_ratio	6	0.62	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.43
fr	6	0	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.37
cb_premium	6	-7.67	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.36
oi_change	6	-0.01	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.31
ema_price	6	0.17	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.2
ema_cross	6	0.33	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	0.16
cvd_bias	6	0.47	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.09
oi_last	6	1773232905.32	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.09
oi_ma20	6	1804303876.97	N/A	83.33%	2.19	2.44	-0.09

MFE / MAE Confirmed Bot · N=0

No position_snapshots data yet for the Confirmed Bot cohort — populates as open, bot-linked positions accumulate monitoring-cycle snapshots. trade_log.json's historical MFE/MAE is intentionally not used here.

Data Quality

Linked Trades

Unlinked Trades

DB Integrity (cached): OK checked 2026-07-14T07:41:57.574Z

Latest collector activity: 2026-07-14T07:55:33.177Z

Latest backup: 2026-07-14T00:19:06.649Z

Open Positions

No open positions right now.

Model Validation Scenario B (fr_hist x100 scaling bug fixed)

Scenario B (fr_hist x100 scaling bug fixed) checkpoint — only genuine TP1/TP2/TP3/SL/SL_BEP simulation-terminal outcomes advance progress. skipped_expired, skipped_pre_enable, blocked/not-submitted/entry-failed, unknown, and any other execution-only or migrated-artifact result are tracked as Excluded Artifacts, never counted toward the checkpoint.

Genuine Outcomes

Target

100

Raw Imported/Terminal Rows

Excluded Artifacts

Still Open

Status: COLLECTING — Scenario B Genuine Outcomes: 12 / 100

IC Research Simulation Performance Live Bitunix Performance Model Comparison Data Quality

Source: replay_dataset.json (signal_log.json-derived future-return research). Target: future_return_4h. Does not require TP/SL closure. Methodology matches ic_v2_report.json (Spearman rank correlation). (cached 2026-07-14T07:42:48.357Z, max 15min)

Sample Size

1488

Discarded Rows

1552

Date range: 2026-07-13T06:25:08.940Z → 2026-07-14T02:50:16.621Z

Discard reason: missing future_return_4h (horizon not yet complete) or missing factors snapshot

#	Factor	N	Spearman IC	\|IC\|
1	ema_cross	1486	0.23	0.23
2	fr_hist	1486	-0.22	0.22
3	liq_imbalance	1488	-0.16	0.16
4	rsi14	1485	-0.09	0.09
5	cvd_bias	1488	-0.08	0.08
6	cb_premium	1488	-0.07	0.07
7	ls_ratio	1488	0.04	0.04
8	ema_price	1488	0.04	0.04
9	oi_change	1488	-0.02	0.02
10	etf_flow	1488	0.02	0.02

Period	Raw Terminal	Excluded Artifacts	Decisive	Wins	Losses	Open
A (hybrid_v2partial)	219	5	214	67	147	0
B (scenario_b)	50	38	12	1	11	42

Metric	A	B	Abs Diff	% Diff
win_rate	31.31	8.33	-22.98	-73.4
avg_pnl_pct	0.01	-0.85	-0.86	-8600
median_pnl_pct	-0.79	-1.31	-0.52	-65.82
profit_factor	1.01	0.2	-0.81	-80.2
expectancy_pct	0.01	-0.85	-0.86	-8600
max_drawdown_pct	91.16	10.2	-80.96	-88.81
tp3_rate	30.59	2	-28.59	-93.46
sl_rate	28.31	20	-8.31	-29.35
bep_rate	38.81	2	-36.81	-94.85

ID	Name	From	To
hybrid_v2partial	Hybrid v2-partial (fr_hist x100 bug present)	2026-07-07T09:36:01.762Z	2026-07-13T06:19:54.000Z
scenario_b	Scenario B (fr_hist x100 scaling bug fixed)	2026-07-13T06:19:54.000Z	N/A

📊 Calm Trading Analytics

Long (0)

Short (6)

By Hour (UTC)

By Day of Week

By Market Session

Score Buckets (conviction, SIMULATED)

Simulation Outcome IC (factor at entry vs simulated pnl_pct)

Live IC (factor at entry vs confirmed real pnl)

Sample Composition

Metric Comparison (genuine decisive outcomes only)

All Recorded Model Versions

Bucket	N	WR	TP3%	SL%	Avg PnL	Avg R
95-100	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
90-95	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
85-90	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
80-85	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
75-80	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
below 75	50	8.33%	2%	20%	-0.85	-0.71

#	Factor	N	Spearman IC	\|IC\|
1	cb_premium	12	0.79	0.79
2	liq_imbalance	12	-0.7	0.7
3	ema_cross	12	0.63	0.63
4	ema_price	12	0.49	0.49
5	etf_flow	12	0.48	0.48
6	fr_hist	12	-0.39	0.39
7	cvd_bias	12	0.29	0.29
8	rsi14	12	-0.27	0.27
9	ls_ratio	12	0.22	0.22
10	oi_change	12	-0.19	0.19